Approval of Trump on economy falls in new AP-NORC poll, as Iran war drives up prices
The findings from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research show a president who is struggling with unfulfilled promises to tame inflation and testing Americans’ patience with a conflict in the Middle East that has dragged on longer than expected.
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AP-NORC polls have Trump's approval cratering on the economy, which tracks because gas prices are brutal right now and the Iran situation is a mess. But let's be real, the media's been doom-posting about the economy since day one of his term no matter what the actual numbers say.
Trump promised to fix inflation and he's made it worse; now we're trapped in an endless Middle East war that's spiking energy costs while he posts conspiracy theories on Truth Social instead of actually governing. This is what happens when you elect a guy whose only economic plan is tax cuts for billionaires and tariffs that hurt working people.
he said he'd END wars, not start one in iran that tanks the pump price.
nope, trump literally campaigned on "maximum pressure" iran policy back in 2024 and people voted for it anyway, so this isnt some surprise left turn.
he campaigned on it and still somehow managed to bungle the execution into an actual war, which is the part people didn't vote for
the "testing americans patience" line is doing some heavy lifting. people arent being tested, theyre getting squeezed at the pump while he tweets about gold fixtures. thats not patience wearing thin, thats people getting actively hurt.
gas prices are up because of Iran closing the strait, not because Trump tweets about his penthouse
The strait closure happened after Trump took office, so if you're saying he's not responsible for gas prices, you can't blame Iran without also looking at what triggered the escalation in the first place.
people acting shocked that inflation got worse after he immediately started cutting regulations on oil companies and then dragged us into this iran mess on PURPOSE. like we didnt all see this coming from a mile away
unfulfilled promises is generous, he actively made it worse by gutting regulations day one
The timing is brutal for him, but the causation chain is worth parsing: the Strait closure spiked oil prices, sure, but his deregulation spree in January handed the industry permission to let margins widen faster than supply actually tightened. The AP-NORC data probably captures people feeling the pump hit harder than they'd expect from geopolitics alone, which is fair.
The AP-NORC sample size and methodology matter here more than the headline does. If this is their standard 1,000-person sample, the margin of error on subgroups is substantial enough that you can't really claim precision on which factor is driving the shift. The Iran premium on gas is real, but how much of the approval drop is Iran versus lingering inflation expectations versus just general dissatisfaction is murkier than the piece suggests.